Agricultural Economics Research Review
  • Year: 2015
  • Volume: 28
  • Issue: conf

Quantifying the Impact of Climate Change on Kharif-rice Yield in India using ARIMA Intervention Model

  • Author:
  • Mrinmoy Ray1, K.N. Singh1, V. Ramasubramanian2, Santosha Rathod1, Anirban Mukherjee3
  • Total Page Count: 1
  • Page Number: 299 to 299

1ICAR-Indian Agricultural Statistics Research Institute, New Delhi – 110 012

2ICAR-Central Institute of Fisheries Education, Mumbai, Maharashtra

3ICAR-Vivekanada Parvatiya Krishi Anusandhan Sansthan, Almora, Uttarakhand

Online published on 24 February, 2018.

Abstract

In this study, Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) intervention model has been used to quantify the impact of drought and flood on yield of kharif-rice and production during the period 1974–75 to 2010–11. The study has revealed that the impact of drought and flood was significant at all-India level in the years 1983, 1987 and 1988. In addition, the study has revealed that ARIMA intervention is superior to ARIMA model when there is significant.

Keywords

Climate change, kharif-rice, ARIMA model, ARIMA intervention, drought, flood