Impact of National Food Security Mission - Wheat in Madhya Pradesh - A Time Series Analysis

The study has found the impact of National Food Security Mission-Wheat (NFSM-W) on growth of area, production and productivity of wheat along with input use, and financial progress under NFSM-W in Madhya Pradesh. The relationship between percentage change in NFSM-W expenditure and that in irrigated area, fertilizer consumption and area as well as production of wheat in the state has also been analyzed. The study is based on the secondary data for the period 1997–98 to 2011–12. The growth in area, production and productivity which was negative in 9^th FYP, turned positive in 11^th FYP. The growth in irrigation intensity, cropping intensity and fertilizer consumption were also accelerated during 11^th FYP as compared to 9^th and 10^th FYPs. The correlations between percentage change in NFSM-W expenditure with percentage changes in net irrigated area, fertilizer consumption and area of wheat have been found to be 0.84, 0.81, 0.81, respectively, showing significant positive and high correlation, while correlation with production of wheat has been found to be non-significant but positive (0.44) and moderate. As far as financial progress of NFSM-W is concerned, the achievement for the amount released has been found to increase from 23 per cent (2007–08) to 120 per cent (2011–12) during the 11^th FYP.