Arth prabandh: A Journal of Economics and Management
  • Year: 2014
  • Volume: 3
  • Issue: 10

The Real Exchange Rate and The Balance of Trade in The Automotive Industry of Iran

  • Author:
  • Seyed Kamal Sadeghi, Zahra Karimi, Reza Karbor, Maryam Barzegar Marvasti
  • Total Page Count: 9
  • Page Number: 42 to 50

*Associate Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran

**Assistant Professor of Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran

***PhD Student of Economics, Department of Economics, The University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran

Online published on 13 May, 2015.

Abstract

In this paper the effects of the real exchange rate and income on automobile industry export revenue and import spending are examined in Iran from 1992 to 2013. Separate estimates of export revenue and import spending functions prove more revealing than estimates of the trade balance. Vector autoregressions capture dynamic adjustments to exchange rate and income shocks. The results according the separate models indicate that depreciation affects both the export revenue and import spending in short run. As well as that, the effect of home income demonstrates in the import model and the influence of foreign one is not confirmed.

Keywords

Trade Balance, Real Exchange Rate, Automobile Industry, J-curve, Vector Autoregression