Bio Science Research Bulletin
  • Year: 2010
  • Volume: 26
  • Issue: 1

A stochastic model with antigenic diversity threshold of hiv transmission using order statistics

  • Author:
  • R. Kannan, A. Thirumurugan, R. Sathiyamoorthi, G. Malarvizhi1
  • Total Page Count: 11
  • Page Number: 45 to 55

1Department of Mathematics, Eswari Engineering College, Ramapuram, Chennai-89, Tamilnadu, India

Department of Statistics, Annamalai University, Annamalainagar-608 002

*E-mail: statkannan@yahoo.co.in

**E-mail: thirustat@gmail.com.

Online published on 26 February, 2013.

Abstract

This paper focuses on the study of a stochastic model for predicting the seroconversion time of HIV transmission using order statistics. In the estimation of expected time to seroconversion, there is an important role for the inter-arrival times between successive contacts and it has a significant influence. In this paper, it is assumed that the inter-arrival times between the contacts distributed as the smallest order statistics. The mean time to seroconversion and its variance are derived and numerical illustration is provided.

Keywords

Acquired Immuno Deficiency Syndrome, Antigenic Diversity, Threshold, Cumulative Damage Process, Human Immuno Deficiency Virus, Infectivity, Seroconversion