Study on structural break analysis in Indian coconut (Cocos nucifera) production

Coconut (Cocos Nucifera.L) is distributed across the tropical belt in Asia, East Africa, and America. The CGR and structural break analysis were employed to examine the growth rates and multiple break period respectively. The results show the structural break year of area, production and productivity for major states in India was found after 1996, 2005 and 2011 which showed the impact of WTO, NHM and establishment. Based on structural break, growth rate of area, production and yield of coconut was estimated using compound growth rate. Coconut production and productivity increased at a rapid rate in Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, and Andhra Pradesh. It suggests that these states, which are India’s top producers of coconuts, have a bright future in the industry. Kerala’s negative growth rate shows that other crops in the state are only little expanding their production areas relative to coconuts. Though the Coconut Development Board established a Technology Mission on Coconut, yield of coconut has not significantly increased. Therefore, it is suggested that improved coconut cultivation technology should be used.