1College of Agriculture, Jawaharlal Nehru Krishi Vishwa Vidyalaya, Powarkheda, Madhya Pradesh, India
2Department of Agricultural Statistics, Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, Nadia, West Bengal, India
3Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agriculture Sciences and Technology, Kashmir, J&K, India
4Department of Statistics, National Horticultural Research and Development Foundation, Regional Research Station, Nashik, Maharashtra, India
*Corresponding author: pradeepjnkvv@gmail.com
Online published on 6 September, 2018.
Cumin is the dried, white fruit with greyish brown colour of a small slender annual herb. The surface of the fruit has 5 primary ridges, alternatively has 4 less distinct secondary ridges bearing numerous short hairs. The flowers are white or rose-colored in small umbels. By and large there has been considerable expansion in area and production of cumin in Gujarat, Rajasthan and whole India. Considering the productivity of cumin except Gujarat remaining state Rajasthan and whole India registered the negative growth rate. Moreover, in states and whole India different factors are influencing productivity of cumin; by and large nitrogen is the major factor to significantly effect on the cumin productivity. Also forecasting has been done using comparing ARIMA and GARCH model for year 2020. Globally seeing the cumin seed demand this forecasting can be used policy implications and future trend of production and productivity of cumin in India and major states. This helps shows that cumin production reached 375 and 562 ‘000 tonnes in year 2020 for Gujarat and whole India respectively.
Trend analysis, factor of production, ARIMA, GARCH, forecasting
