1Department of Agricultural Economics, Acharya Narendra Dev University of Agriculture and Technology, Kumarganj, Ayodhya, Uttar Pradesh, India
2Department of Agricultural Economics, Chandra Shekhar Azad University of Agriculture and Technology, Kanpur, Uttar Pradesh, India
3Department of Agricultural Economics, Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, Nadia, West Bengal, India
The present study was conducted to analyze the growth rates and instability in the area, production, and productivity of sugarcane in Uttar Pradesh for the last 71 years from 1950-51 to 2020-21. A Semi-log regression model was used to assess the growth rates and trend, while instability was determined by an adjusted coefficient of variation and the Cuddy Della Vella Instability Index. The results of the growth analysis revealed that area, production and productivity accounted to be positive and statistically significant, whereas the highest growth rate was registered for sugarcane production i.e. 2.25 percent per annum rather than area (1.19% per annum) and productivity (1.05% per annum). In case of instability for the entire study period, the area, production and productivity of this crop accounted to be 24.01, 44.82 and 23.64 percent respectively. It shows that the variation in sugarcane production is higher compared with crop acreage and productivity. It implies that farmers should need to pay adequate attention to adopting improved production technologies and advanced management to address the problems of fluctuation in sugarcane production. Moreover, the higher stability of productivity and area implies a low risk in the supply of raw sugarcane to the sugar industries.
Growth rate of area, production and productivity of sugarcane in Uttar Pradesh were registered significant and showing an increasing trend.
The high instability in sugarcane production could be attributed to the natural phenomenon, dissemination of advanced production technologies or technological changes.
High growth and low instability in area and productivity of sugarcane implies sustainable production and low risk in the supply of raw sugarcane to the sugar industries.
Co-efficient of variation, Cuddy Della Vella Index, Exponential trend equation, Sugarcane, Growth, Instability
