1Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, Graphic Era Deemed to be University, Dehradun-248 001, Uttarakhand, India
*Corresponding Author: Ajay Kumar Singh, Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, Graphic Era Deemed to be University, Dehradun-248 001, Uttarakhand, India. Email: a.k.seeku@gmail.com
This study evaluates the impact of climatic factors (CFs) on rice production and yield in 19 states of India. The elasticities of rice yield and production with CFs were determined. Future projections of rice production and yield were also estimated.
It uses state-wise balanced panel data of CFs, rice yield and production for the period of between 1966–2017. The coefficients of CFs with yield and production were estimated using Cobb-douglas production model. Marginal impact analysis (MIA) was used to observe the future prediction of rice yield and production in India.
Production and yield of rice decrease due to marginal change in CFs. Rice yield is expected to decline by 1.54%, 1.86%, 2.18% and 2.37%, while its production to be declined by 2.39%, 3.01%, 3.63% and 4.30% in India due to change in CFs by 2040s, 2060s, 2080s and 2100s.
Agricultural sector, Climate change, Food security, Mitigation and adaptation, Production, Rice yield
