Indian Journal of Economics and Development
  • Year: 2021
  • Volume: 17
  • Issue: 3

Oil Price-Macroeconomy Causality: Evidence from Emerging Economies

  • Author:
  • Mushtaq Ahmad Malik1,, Tasneem Khan2
  • Total Page Count: 8
  • Page Number: 608 to 615

1Research Scholar, Department of West Asian and North African Studies, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh-202002 (Uttar Pradesh)

2Research Scholar, Department of Commerce, Aligarh Muslim University, Aligarh-202002 (Uttar Pradesh)

*Corresponding author's email: malikmushtaq10@gmail.com

JEL Codes: Q02, O40, O53

Abstract

This paper investigates whether changes in oil prices could explain cross-country variations in economic growth. The sample included WANAcountries, China and India. The findings indicated bidirectional oil price-economy causality in the WANAregion's oil-exporting countries. In addition, a unidirectional causality running from changing oil prices to growth was found in the WANA region. However, there was no clear oil price-economy causal relationship for non-oil WANAcountries, China and India. The study recommended diversification and fuel pricing reforms to create a robust fiscal balanced and sustained economic growth.

Keywords

Economic growth, oil exporters, oil importers