1Master of Technology Student, Department of Computing Science and Engineering, Galgotias University, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India
2Associate Professor, Department of Computing Science and Engineering, Galgotias University, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh, India
Online published on 21 November, 2017.
North India is one of the earthquake activezone in Indian subcontinent. In this area, a series of medium to large magnitude earthquake can be seen. The expected earthquake of intensity up to IX can beobserved. Therefore, for reducing the loss of life and property, it is important to analyze the earthquakerisk in the considered region, properly. In this paperdata mining approach have been applied. This papercontains the calculation of the largest annual earthquake magnitude, its probability of occurrenceand the return period of largest earthquake for theearthquake prone Shillong region of North East Indiausing Gumbel's type I distribution which is based on the extreme value theory has been estimated. Mostprobable annual maxima have also been calculated forthe considered region. The line of expected extremewhich is based on 46 years (1963–2008) of seismicitydata of yearly extreme values of earthquakes for theregion have been plotted. The medium to large size earthquakes which is expected to occur in this region has been predicted.
Gumble's Theory, Line of expected stream MM intensity
