1HOD, Department of Mathematics, Pt. NRS Govt. College, Rohtak - Haryana
2Vellore Institute of Technology, Chennai
Online published on 16 September, 2023.
The outbreak of a pandemic presents immense challenges to global health systems, economies, and social structures. Accurate and timely predictions of the pandemic's impact are crucial for implementing effective containment measures and mitigating the consequences. This research paper aims to explore a successful pandemic impact prediction strategy and the development of a mathematical model that can aid in such predictions. By leveraging available data, advanced statistical and mathematical techniques, and considering various factors influencing the pandemic, this strategy seeks to provide authorities with the necessary tools to make informed decisions for combating the crisis effectively.. The COVID-19 outbreak in India is forecasted by this study to be managed and prevented using a novel modified epidemiological model. In order to analyse the COVID-19 outbreak in India during the first and second waves, the Indian government developed a mathematical model. However, what sets this work apart from others is the establishment of a conceptual model with time-dependent characteristics, particular to India's diverse and homogeneous cultures. The results demonstrate that effective public perception of danger, governmental control legislation, and public health safety measures are required to curb the spread of COVID-19.