Instability in banana export from India

The global demand for banana is an opportunity for India to increase its export. The data on export quantity and value of banana in India from the period of 1990-91 to 2017-18 (28 years) were considered with the aim to perform time series modeling for Indian banana export and value. The performance of Indian banana with respect to growth in quantity exhibited as positive growth rate of 22.14 per cent per annum. The quantum of banana exported exhibited less variability with coefficient of variation at 121.32 per cent while it was highest in the banana value during study period with coefficient of variation at 146.14 per cent. The instability index of banana export and value were 38.85 and 48.53 per cent respectively. Hence, it is suggested that there is a need to give more attention towards export. ARIMA (3, 1, 6) and Brown’s exponential smoothing model were found best fit for banana export and its total value respectively.