Indian Journal of Industrial and Applied Mathematics
  • Year: 2022
  • Volume: 13
  • Issue: 1and2

Predictor Modelling of Production Tonnages of Two Truck Fleets of a South American Open-pit Mining Company

  • Author:
  • Elias Tapia1,*, Jeffri S Quispealaya2, Yeminna Z Huari2, Nelida Tantavilca2, Andrés Soto-Bubert3, Luis de la Torre Urzúa3, Roberto Acevedo3
  • Total Page Count: 9
  • Published Online: Nov 11, 2023
  • Page Number: 8 to 16

1Departamento de Metalurgia y Ingeniería de Minas, Universidad Católica del Norte, Antofagasta, Chile

2Ingeniería Civil en Minas, Universidad Continental, Avenida San Carlos 1980, Huancayo12000, Perú

3Facultad de Ingeniería, Arquitectura y Diseño, Universidad San Sebastián, Bellavista 7, Santiago, Chile

*Corresponding author E-mail: elias.tapia@ucn.cl

Online Published on 11 November, 2023.

Abstract

In loading and transportation operations, production is affected mainly by the increase in the distances between the pits, increasing the costs per transported ton. Therefore, it is imperative to predict the performance behaviour of mining trucks to develop the best production strategies. This was done by modelling a predictor through the multiple linear regression formula and the SSD estimation error looking for its minimum value to make effective predictions, based on the ASARCO standard and its derived indicators, through real data of two fleets of a South American open-pit mining company. The predictor model has an estimation error of 0.0346 in the first Komatsu 930E-4SE fleet and of 0.0083 in the second Liebherr T282B fleet, where the close relationship of the latter two and their meagre dispersion when comparing their actual tonnage are highlighted and predicted, evidencing its notable trend line and very close upper and lower limits. In conclusion, the model is effective in predicting the production tonnages of both fleets with minimal error.

Keywords

Modelling, Multiple regression, SSD estimation error, Dispersion, Mining, Predictive, ASARCO, Open sky