International Journal of Research in Finance and Marketing

  • Year: 2014
  • Volume: 4
  • Issue: 7

Existence of persistent temporal dependence in Asian emerging markets exchange-traded funds (ETFS)

  • Author:
  • Cheng-Wen Lee, John Francis Diaz, Truong Hongngoc
  • Total Page Count: 16
  • DOI:
  • Page Number: 20 to 35

*Professor, Department of International Business, Chung Yuan Christian University, Taiwan, R.O.C.

**Assistant Professor, Department of Finance, Chung Yuan Christian University, Taiwan, R.O.C.

Abstract

This research investigates the existence of persistent temporal dependence in the returns and volatility of seven Asian emerging market (EM) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) from 2008 to 2013 using fractionally-integrated models. This paper finds that SPDR S&P China ETF (ticker: GXC) and Wisdom Tree Indian Rupee Fund (ICN) ETFs have intermediate memory, which characterizes the strong tendency of these ETFs to mean revert. This study also finds long memory properties in the volatility structures of most Asian EM ETF, which is a possible sign of market inefficiency, and can be exploited by financial traders in the long-term through a “hold” strategy to earn excess returns. Moreover, the log-likelihood values point to the ARFIMA-HYGARCH models as the best fitting models compared to the ARFIMA and ARFIMA-FIGARCH models.

Keywords

Asian emerging markets, exchange-traded funds, long-memory models