International Journal of Research in Social Sciences
  • Year: 2013
  • Volume: 3
  • Issue: 1

The Value at Risk (VAR) in the banking system of Azerbaijan

  • Author:
  • Jeyhun Abbasov
  • Total Page Count: 22
  • Page Number: 540 to 561

*Institute for Science Scientific Research on Economic Reforms of the Ministry of Economic Development

Central Bank of the Republic, Azerbaijan

Online published on 30 September, 2013.

Abstract

Value at risk was calculated on the GAP between loans and deposits of the banks of the Azerbaijan banking system with 95% of confidence level and holding periods for 10 days. The average interest rates of loans were taken as risk factor in calculating of VAR. In statistics analysis, it was defined that, exchange rate of USdollars against Azerbaijan manat which is one of the market risk factors don`t follow the normal distribution. Calculation of VAR of these banks wasn't possible by reason of the very risk factor. However, it was defined that, the average interest rate of the loans follow the normal distribution and this risk factor can be used in calculating of VAR. Normal distribution was substantiated by test statistics.

Keywords

Value at Risk (VAR), test statistics, normal distribution, market risk, standard error, holding period, observation frequency, expected frequency