International Journal of Statistics and Systems
  • Year: 2010
  • Volume: 5
  • Issue: 4

Estimation and Prediction for General Progressive Censored Rayleigh Model

  • Author:
  • Basma H. Shafey1, Ahmed A. Soliman2, Mashail M. Al-Sobhi3
  • Total Page Count: 19
  • Page Number: 583 to 601

1Department of Mathematics, Applied Science College, Umm Al-Qura University, Saudi Arabia.

2Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Science, Sohag University, Sohag, Egypt

3Department of Mathematics, Applied Science College, Umm Al-Qura University, Saudi Arabia.

AMS subject classification: 62A15; 62C10; 62F25.

Abstract

This paper describes Bayesian and non-Bayesian inference and prediction of the Rayleigh distribution for general progressively Type-II censored data. First we consider the maximum likelihood and the Bayesian inference of the unknown parameter, reliability function and hazard rate function. This was done under symmetric (squared error loss function), and asymmetric loss functions (linear exponential and general entropy loss functions). We have performed a simulation study in order to compare the proposed Bayes estimators with the maximum likelihood estimators. We further consider two-sample Bayes prediction problem based on general progressive censored sample as a past sample. A study of 10000 randomly future observations shows that the actual prediction level is satisfactory. A real data representing the survival times of a group of lung cancer patients is used to illustrate all the results developed here.

Keywords

Bayes estimation, Bayesian prediction, general progressive type-II censored data, symmetric and asymmetric loss functions, Monte Carlo simulation