Festivals and monsoon: The paradigm shift in festivals due to deviated monsoon

Agricultural production and productivity is largely dependent on the number of rainy days in a particular cropping season. The monsoon rain deviation hampers the agricultural production by reducing the normal crop yield or by destroying the crops by disease- pest, flood or drought. Not only the crop production or productivity is hampered by deviated monsoon rain but also the marketability of the crops or amount of marketable surplus of the farmers is also hampered. The present study is conducted in Ghoragachha village under Saguna gram panchayet, N adia, West Bengal. The numbers of respondents were 60 and they were selected randomly. The data were collected trough pilot survey, structured interview and focused group interview. The statistical tools used for data analysis were correlation coefficient, step down regression, path analysis and factor analysis. Family size (X₃), livestock (X₁₀), yield of rice (X₁₁), yield of pulses (X₁₂), yield of vegetables (X₁₃) are some of the variables those have created a significant impact on the festivals. The variables which were retained after step down regression are family size (X₃) that means this is the most important causal variable which affect the consequent variable.