1Central Potato Research Institute, Shimla-171 001, HP, India.
Potato wholesale prices of Delhi market were analysed using univariate seasonal ARIMA model. Seasonal indices calculated showed that generally the price is low from December to May and it picks up from June, and reaches the maximum in October. Based on the Shwartz Bayes Criterion (SBC) and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), the estimated best model was ARIMA (1,1,1) X (1,0,0)12. Short term forecasts based on this model were close to the observed values.
