1Department of Agricultural Economics, SKRAU, Bikaner, India
2Department of Agricultural Technology, Yobe State College of Agriculture, Gujba, Nigeria
*e-mail: sadiqsanusi30@gmail.com
Online published on 20 June, 2018.
This empirical research investigated the future outlook of Nigerian agricultural sector growth in light of the global financial developments using linear and symmetric price transmission mechanism model (ECM). The study made use of annual time series data covering GDP-Agriculture and its subsectors that spanned from 1990–2012. The findings showed that long-run association exits between agriculture and its sub-sectors with the mother sector establishing long-run equilibrium with its sub-sectors, though the convergence rate was moderate as indicated by the attractor coefficient. Furthermore, results showed that all the sub-sectors have positive influence on GDP-Agriculture with crop sub-sector having a lead influence when compared to other sub-sectors. Therefore, the study recommends that government should adopt adjustment strategies that hinges on shoring-up gross agriculture revenue to compensate for the dwindling oil revenues given that the prospects for the country's economy depend on the policies articulated for the medium-to-long term and the seriousness with which they are implemented.
Agriculture, ARIMA, ECM, economy, growth, Nigeria