SKUAST Journal of Research
Open Access
  • Year: 2026
  • Volume: 28
  • Issue: 2

Modelling weather-driven ascospore dynamics of Venturia inaequalis in temperate Himalayan apple orchards

  • Author:
  • Arif Bashir1,*, Shakeel Ahmad Mir1, Tariq Rasool2, Bhagyashree Dhekale1, Shabir Ahmad Mir3, Masood Saleem Mir4, Shabir Ahmad Wani5
  • Total Page Count: 9
  • Page Number: 208 to 216

1Division of Agri-Statistics, Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Science and Technology of Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India190025

2Division of Plant Pathology, Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Science and Technology of Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India190025

3ARIS, Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Science and Technology of Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India190025

4Division of Veterinary Pathology, Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Science and Technology of Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India190025

5Institute of Business and Policy Research, Sher-e-Kashmir University of Agricultural Science and Technology of Kashmir, Jammu and Kashmir, India190025

*e-mail: malikarifbashir5@gmail.com

Abstract

This study consolidates a two-year seasonal analysis of Venturia inaequalis ascospore dynamics and their meteorological drivers in a temperate Himalayan apple orchard. Using hourly weather observations and weekly ascospore counts during the primary infection period in 2024 and 2025, a consistent rainfall-driven pattern of ascospore release was documented, with peak discharges aligning with mid-April rainfall events. Temperature and relative humidity displayed secondary, supporting roles: warmer temperatures and higher humidity correlated moderately with ascospore abundance, while rainfall exhibited the strongest association (r = 0.82 in 2024 and r = 0.87 in 2025). Inter-annual variability was evident, with 2025 showing higher peak counts and longer spore activity. The findings validate rainfall as the principal environmental trigger for primary inoculum in this Himalayan context and underscore the value of weather-based forecasting to optimize disease management strategies for apple scab.

Keywords

Apple scab, ascospore release, epidemiology, spore trapping, temperate Himalayas, Venturia inaequalis