<tideeAbstracts><tideeAbs><RefNo>2324</RefNo><PublishYear>2004</PublishYear><Contributors>Das A and Parikh J</Contributors><Affiliation>Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research,<break />General Vaidya Marg,<break />Goregaon (E), Mumbai - 400 065, India</Affiliation><Source><italic>Energy Conversion and Management</italic><break /><bold>45</bold>(15–16): 2603–2625</Source><Title>Transport scenarios in two metropolitan cities in India: Delhi and Mumbai

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TERI Information Digest on Energy and Environment

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Abstracts of dissertations or articles

Transport and energy

92004

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<tideeAbstracts><tideeAbs><RefNo>2324</RefNo><PublishYear>2004</PublishYear><Contributors>Das A and Parikh J</Contributors><Affiliation>Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research,<break />General Vaidya Marg,<break />Goregaon (E), Mumbai - 400 065, India</Affiliation><Source><italic>Energy Conversion and Management</italic><break /><bold>45</bold>(15–16): 2603–2625</Source><Title>Transport scenarios in two metropolitan cities in India: Delhi and MumbaiWith the rising population and increasing migration to cities, it is expected that the urban population will increase and many more metropolitan cities will arise. Urban transport will also increase due to high growth in population, travel demand, and vehicle increase. In this paper, we look at the growth in vehicles and travel demand up to 2020, assuming business as usual, high GDP growth, and low GDP growth scenarios for Mumbai and Delhi, assuming a certain population growth. The consequent energy needs and local and global environment implications are studied. The case studies demonstrate that despite similar population and higher per capita GDP, due to the higher share of public bus transport and suburban railway system, the Mumbai transport results in 60% less energy consumption and emissions compared to Delhi. This picture may change in the future with the introduction of metro rail in Delhi, but basic differences will remain even in 2020, perhaps also due to the different urban design. The vehicle stock increases nearly three times in both the cities in 23 years due to an increase in population, migration, and economic growth. However, vehicle ownership per 1000 persons will only double and will be far lower in 2020, even compared to the present world average ownership. Emissions, however, do not rise as much due to the introduction of more efficient vehicles and fuels, such as compressed natural gas or battery-operated vehicles. The high share of public transport also helps. Effects of various policies, such as urban design, suburban railway system, transport management, control practices, etc., are very important. (7 references)