World Affairs

  • Year: 2009
  • Volume: 13
  • Issue: 2

The Decoupling theory: Possible alternatives to the Dollar based Global Monetary System

  • Author:
  • Vivan Sethi
  • Total Page Count: 33
  • DOI:
  • Page Number: 114 to 146

This article has been extracted from a series of confidential reports prepared by Vivan Sethi in January 2009 for clients of Mandalay Capital, a Singapore based risk consultancy. It is not intended as scholarly research.

Abstract

The first half of this paper draws a broad outline of the nature of US economic power since the end of World War Two, the structural changes in the American economy and their symbiotic relationship with the influence exerted over much of the global economy. It also summarises the evolution of the US dollar from being an instrument backed by the largest gold reserves and productive capacity in the world, to one informally supported by a paper denomination of commodity resources, vendor financed consumption, serial financial asset bubbles and the increasing use and threat of military power. The latter half deals with the limitations imposed on large nations trapped in the “money empire” and what steps might be taken to assert economic and monetary sovereignty free from a “credit emperor” that now appears fatally weakened.