Production, export performance and future prospect of fresh Mango: A case study of India

Ample diversity of geological and geographical conditions, availability of abundant natural resources which are very much favorable for growing a large array of mango crop throughout the country in several season are these better-off situations plays a key role to make India top runner in world mango production and the area devoted under mango cultivation. Data for a period of 2006-07 to 2015-16 has been collected and analyzed with respect to area, production, productivity and export quantity and value of Indian mangoes. The markov chain and transitional probability matrix were used for forecasting the major mango market and nature of export. Results revealed that compound growth rate of area was non-significant where as compound growth rate of production, productivity and value of export were positive and significant at 1 per cent level of significance but quantity of export was negative and significant at 1 per cent level of significance. The study also revealed that growth of value of export was increasing at 10.81 per cent per annum and quantity of export was decreasing at 7.56 per cent. The countries like UAE is one of the major market for Indian mangoes was imported 38.33 per cent quantity and greater than half value of fresh mango exported from India. Bangladesh is one of the most stable markets of Indian mango as reflected 82.32 per cent probability of retention in terms of quantity export, UAE top in total value exported as reflected 75 per cent retention probability.India has a good potential for export and the production, productivity of mango crop with highly positive significant. Therefore, India should need to stiff improve its export promotion policies by improving the quantity with superior quality production and should also need to be evolved to expand the trade concentration to other global major existing markets.