Analysis of rainfall offers a better scope for predicting the minimum assured rainfall helping in crop planning in rainfed regions. Incomplete gamma distribution is used to predict the minimum assured rainfall at different probabilities of excedence in all weeks of the whole year. The study reveals that chances of drought are more at critical stages of maize but there is a scope for in-situ moisture conservation and runoff collection in tanks for supplemental irrigation. Rabi crops are found to be grown under moisture stress.
Crop planning, Life saving irrigation, Moisture conservation, Prediction, Rainfall
